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"If you don't abandon this city, you will be eliminated"

MENA Roundup is a weekly publication containing insightful articles on politics in the Middle East, f
October 27 · Issue #12 · View online
MENA Roundup is a weekly publication containing insightful articles on politics in the Middle East, focussing on Syria and Iraq.

Key developments
  • Russia’s unilateral three-day truce in Aleppo ended without results. Neither have civilians left the besieged eastern part of the city nor did aid supplies reach the residents. Bombing continued on Sunday and the Assad regime made clear that it was the last chance for rebels to safe their lives. A new phase of fighting lies ahead.
  • For the first time, Turkish jets targeted the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces, led by the Kurdish YPG, in northern Syria. The Assad regime said it would not allow such airstrikes but the Turkish Foreign Minister answered “The operation needs to continue, and it will”. 
  • Turkish-backed rebels advanced in northern Syria, taking territory both from the Islamic State and Kurds. They are heading towards Al-Bab, the important town whose capture is part of Operation Euphrates Shield. Al-Bab is fortified and the Islamic State is not likely to abandon it without resistance. Yet, if rebels capture the town, they could threaten pro-regime troops around Aleppo. 
  • Russia has deployed its aircraft carrier, Admiral Kuznetsov, to the Eastern Mediterranean. According to analysts, the military significance of the outdated carrier is little. However, Russia again signals its readiness to escalate the situation.
  • Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s Secretary General, renewed his organization’s commitment to President Assad. Hezbollah’s metamorphosis into an occupying force will question the movement’s legitimacy in Lebanon in the longterm.
Articles worth reading
The Islamic State's Coming Rural Revival
Syria rejects Russian proposal for Kurdish federation
The Debate Over Syria Has Reached a Dead End
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